North West Growth Area · 45 km to Sydney CBD · snapshot 2026-06-01
New-build family belt with the strongest population growth in the state — and the supply pipeline to match. Buy the scarcity, not the volume.
Median house
$1.12m
Units $720k
5-yr growth
5.5%
1y 3.8% · 10y 7.2% p.a.
Gross yield
3.3%
Units 4.4% · annual rent ÷ price
Vacancy
2.4%
36 days on market · 440 listings
Owner-occupier share
66%
Higher = more stable holding base
Population growth
4.8% p.a.
ABS-pattern projection
Supply ratio
1.45
Approvals ÷ household formation — >1.3 = oversupply watch
Sentiment index
56/100
Clearance 59% · vacancy 2.4% · search +12%
Reconstructed from growth-rate bands in the indicative dataset — Phase 1 replaces this with NSW Valuer General bulk sales.
| Point | Houses | Units |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $621k | $399k |
| 2017 | $651k | $418k |
| 2018 | $736k | $473k |
| 2019 | $796k | $512k |
| 2020 | $807k | $519k |
| 2021 | $870k | $559k |
| 2022 | $969k | $623k |
| 2023 | $1m | $645k |
| 2024 | $996k | $640k |
| 2025 | $1.08m | $692k |
| 2026 | $1.12m | $720k |
Modelled on NSW Valuer General sales patterns, ABS census & building approvals, RBA lending indicators, and published auction clearance data. Full methodology.